MILNEWS.ca Blog

Tidbits from Both Sides of the Fight

MILNEWS.ca Highlights – December 13, 2018

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Internal Security:  #HuaweiCFOArrest + Spinoff
Internal Security:  Other Stuff
#CANinIRQ/Mid East – Op IMPACT
#MLI – Op PRESENCE/Africa
#UKR – Op UNIFIER
#LVA/Europe – Op REASSURANCE/Cold War 2.0
Way Up North
What’s Canada Buying?
Other Military News
#CHN/Pacific Rim

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MILNEWS.ca Highlights – December 12, 2018

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No #MapleFlag2019
Internal Security:  #HuaweiCFOArrest + Spinoff
Internal Security:  Other Stuff
#CANinIRQ/Mid East – Op IMPACT
#UKR – Op UNIFIER
#LVA/Europe – Op REASSURANCE/Cold War 2.0
#MLI – Op PRESENCE/Africa
What’s Canada Buying?
Veterans & Helping Veterans (or Not?)
Other Military News
#CHN/Pacific Rim
The Koreas

#RUS Poised to Escalate #UKR Campaign? (counterpoint)

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And here, a more “glass is half full” assessment, recommended via social media by people I respect who know their stuff (thanks and ) …

“… This is not the first time breathless reports have warned that war is about to break out. The image of hundreds of tanks lined up at a new Russian military base on the outskirts of Kamensk-Shakhtinsky in Russia’s Rostov Oblast close to the Ukrainian border has been widely circulated on social media and TV shows. It has been used as proof that Russian forces are building up, ready to invade. However, the image is from Google Earth and from October 13, over a month before the clash between Russian and Ukrainian navy on Sea of Azov. It has already snowed in Rostov and there is no snow in the image. 

Before I dive into this I should say at the outset I remain extremely sceptical of the idea that Russia would ever invade Ukraine, let alone now. There are many reasons to believe this. To save time let me just list some of the points made against invasion recently and we can leave the debate over each for another time:

  • It’s winter and it’s a really bad idea to start a war in the east in winter;

  • Invading Ukraine would bring down extreme punitive sanctions on Russia – far worse than the current regime – which it can ill afford;

  • Moreover new and even more stringent sanctions would undermine the Kremlin’s efforts to lift the current sanctions when the will in Europe to keep them in place is clearly weakening;

  • An attack would prompt the US to rapidly increase its military supplies of lethal weapons to Ukraine that would lead to dramatic escalation of the military conflict;

  • An invasion could lead to a military response by the US/EU/Nato in support of Ukraine (albeit highly unlikely);

  • Russia can ill afford the cost in human life and money, which would have political and budgetary repercussions at home;

  • Russia could occupy Ukraine quickly, but it could not defend it for any length of time if counter attacked nor secure it against a prolonged guerrilla counter offensive;

  • Plus Russia would never “win the peace” amongst the locals, who have already ousted two presidents with popular uprisings; and

  • The destruction an invasion would cause would only escalate the cost of reconstructing the economy to massive proportions, if an invasion were successful – just the annexation of Crimea has already proven a drain on the budget …”

So now, we wait, I guess …


 

Written by milnews.ca

12 December 18 at 12:22

Posted in Uncategorized

“Russia Poised to Escalate Ukraine Campaign” (?)

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The signs appear to be there, as assembled by a pretty reliable source, but my fingers remain crossed ….

“Russia will likely escalate militarily against Ukraine imminently. Russia is setting military conditions to prepare its forces for open conflict with Ukraine. Russia is already creating the pretext to escalate by circulating the false narrative that Ukraine and the West are preparing imminent attacks, including a chemical weapons attack, in Eastern Ukraine. Russia may fabricate evidence of a chemical weapons attack – or may itself conduct a chemical weapons attack — near Russia-backed areas of Ukraine to create chaos, justify the overt involvement of the Russian Armed Forces, and set conditions for future military operations. NATO’s inaction following Russia’s escalation in the Sea of Azov is likely emboldening Putin to continue challenging the West in Ukraine. NATO must reassess the threat that Russia poses to European security and the rules-based international order and respond decisively to deter an increasingly likely Russian military escalation in Ukraine itself.”

Some highlights since the beginning of December from the various Russian/pro-Russian/rebel/pro-rebel info-machines:

 

The latest on Canada’s training mission in Ukraine, Op UNIFIER, here.


 

Written by milnews.ca

12 December 18 at 7:18

Posted in Cold War 2.0, Ukraine

MILNEWS.ca Highlights – December 11, 2018

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Internal Security:  Report on Threats to Canada (including Terror Tourists)
Internal Security:  Huawei CFO Fracas
Internal Security:  CANEX cyberattack
Internal Security:  Other Stuff
What’s Canada Buying?
The Koreas
#UKR – Op UNIFIER
#LVA/Europe – Op REASSURANCE/Cold War 2.0
#CANinIRQ/Mid East – Op IMPACT
Way Up North
Veterans & Helping Veterans (or Not?)
Other Military Stuff

MILNEWS.ca Highlights – December 10, 2018

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Internal Security (1):  #CHN tech exec still in jail in #CAN
Internal Security (2):  Pro/Anti Immigration Protest in Ottawa
Internal Security (3):  Other Stuff
#CANinIRQ/Mid East – Op IMPACT
#UKR – Op UNIFIER
#LVA/Europe – Op REASSURANCE/Cold War 2.0
#MLI – Op PRESENCE/Africa
What’s Canada Buying?
Mental Health in the CAF
Other Military News
The Koreas
#CHN/Pacific Rim

MILNEWS.ca Highlights – December 7, 2018

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Internal Security (1):  CHN Tech Official Nabbed in CAN
Internal Security (2):  Other Stuff
#UKR – Op UNIFIER
#LVA/Europe – Op REASSURANCE/Cold War 2.0
#MLI – Op PRESENCE/Africa
#CANinIRQ/Mid East – Op IMPACT
Way Up North
What’s Canada Buying?
Veterans & Helping Veterans (or Not?)
Sexual Assault/Harassment in the CF
Other Military News